Thursday, April 28, 2005
This Day:

By studying data from orbiting satellites, ocean buoys, land-based stations, and computer models, scientists from the NASA, Earth Institute at Columbia University, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory have concluded that more energy is being absorbed from the Sun than is emitted back to space, throwing the Earth's energy "out of balance" and warming the planet.
The study appears in this week's Science Express. It concludes that this imbalance is (historically) quite large, and will cause an additional warming of 0.6°C by the end of this (21st) century. Although it looks small, even such rise can result in further melting of the ice-caps, thus disrupting some ecosystems, and also flooding some low-lying areas.

Reflected and Emitted radiations (Courtesy: PhysOrg)
In the above picture, the lightest areas represent thick clouds, which both reflect radiation from the Sun and block heat rising from the Earth’s surface. This will cause a greenhouse-style warming of the atmosphere, which will then warm the oceans. As the oceans get warmer, more evaporation takes place, which increases the cloud cover, thus causing further warming.
This imbalance, according to the scientists, is an expected consequence of increasing atmospheric pollution, especially carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, and black carbon particles (soot). These pollutants block the Earth's radiant heat from escaping into space, increasing absorption of sunlight and trapping heat within the atmosphere.
However, the process is quite slow, and thus it might represent an oppurtunity for us to do something to reverse it. Steps need to be taken to reduce the amount of the above chemicals, and then it might still be possible to turn this around.

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14 Comments:

At April 29, 2005 4:19 PM, Blogger wise donkey said...
but when will the steps be taken to prevent it? any goverment taking it seriously and any policy?
 
At April 29, 2005 7:13 PM, Blogger Sray said...
I am sure we will start taking some steps, when it is already too late :-(.
 
At April 30, 2005 12:41 AM, Blogger LEMNA said...
The feelin' of sulfishness doesnn allow people 'n mostly the heads to do an action to prevent it:( We cann do anythin',also we cann need to be sad for the others foolishness,If they gonna prevent more pollution, they've to give up many of their profits.There is no concern about human life now,all are thinkin' about themselves.The terrible world,I donn know till when this will continue...They will think of it as when mostly all people in the world has attacked with the cancer 'n it has reached their dearests, but then it is really late for action...
 
At April 30, 2005 12:48 AM, Blogger LEMNA said...
Heyyy again bad links:D sooo Check this out you will like ittt:D
http://www.geocities.com/sray.rm/alex.html
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At April 30, 2005 12:49 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Agreed, dear. People (and politicians) all try to maximize the short-term gain... in the process, we often ignore the long term effects it can have both on us, and on society. As the pace of development and population both increase, the stress on the environment is also increasing. Hopefully, science will be able to solve this grave problem... but I am not very hopeful of that happening before it is already too late :-(.
 
At April 30, 2005 2:45 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Perhaps the ending in my previous comment was too pessimistic. But, science doesnt operate in a vacuum. It often requires a social awareness, which then results in increased fundings in the relevant areas.

For example, the Earth-monitoring satellites of USA are in terrible shape, and the newer ones that were supposed to go up are either delayed or had their funds cut. If we dont have monitoring satellites, we will never have the data to prove the global scale of the problem! And then when the problem is right on us, it will be too late.

Ahhh.. another pessimistic ending :(:(.
 
At April 30, 2005 4:36 AM, Blogger LEMNA said...
Heyyy pal,nevermind,so it is like that 'n we cann change anythin' dear,so take it easy:)
 
At April 30, 2005 4:46 AM, Blogger LEMNA said...
It seems that somebodies are angry with meeeee:D:DI beg your pardon soooo:D
 
At April 30, 2005 6:31 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Angry??!! Noooo :D:D:D. Hmmm... should I be?!
 
At April 30, 2005 8:15 AM, Blogger wise donkey said...
"But, science doesnt operate in a vacuum. It often requires a social awareness, which then results in increased fundings in the relevant areas."

I agree. and i wish the mainstream media, could highlight it.
 
At April 30, 2005 8:50 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Mainstream media?! Mainstream media is driven by profits. They show what the public wants to see (or at least sees, even if they wont admit they want to see it). Hence you see this much skin and gossip even on the news channel here in the USA :-(. Makes me sick, when premier channels such as CNN spend hours discussing Michael Jackson's trial.

It is a chicken-and-egg situation. If the media doesnt show, how will the public know there is a problem? The public will know it when the problem is right over their head, and then the media will start covering the aftermath.

The same thing happened with 9/11 tragedy. Throughout the 90s, the media hardly talked abt. Laden and his thugs.. so the public didnt know. Since the public didnt know, the politicians didnt care. And nothing was done!
 
At April 30, 2005 5:31 PM, Blogger Sray said...
Even if global warming weren't true, we must address the supply-side problems, as India and China gobble up more and more resources.

1) One way of doing it is by pushing for hybrid vehicles, which do save a lot of fuel. The big automobile companies should pool their resources, and find a truly 21st century solution for this, instead of just fighting against each other.
2) Nuclear power is an option, but the post-processing of the radioactive waste takes a lot of energy, and I am not sure if it is more economical in the long run.
3) Hydrogen looks a good thing, but I am sure it will work, at least in the short run. To set up so many hydrogen pumps, is a mammoth task, and will consume more energy than it will save.
4) One good solution is using vegetable-waste based fuel, such as ethanol, or vegetable diesel.

About pollutants, there are several possibilities why the concentration chemicals are going up.

1) Of course there is the human factor. Since the dawn of the industrial age, we have released a lot of carbon into the atmosphere, which had previously been locked away. Also, the cutting of forests means that not enough CO2 is being converted back to oxygen.
2) Nature does a lot of damage from time to time. For example, there is a possibility that huge methane deposits under the oceans might erupt at any time. Methane is one of the most potent greenhouse gases! Similarly, volcanic activities release a lot of greenhouse matter from time to time.

Now the question is: is it the human activity to blame? For that, we need to study the ice-cores from the past centuries, and see how the climate changed in different parts of the world. It seems that our century has been warmer than most others, and since there is no preponderance of natural activity in the 20th century, the only other factor that we are left with, is the human factor.

There is not much we can do to limit the man-made pollutants right now. But the first step has be awareness of the problem, and acknowledging that a problem exists. Then the governments will be able to pour lots of funds, and perhaps we will see a solution.

Once fantastic option is the fusion power, which should mature by say 2050, and if fuel-cells mature by then, these two combined can solve a lot of problems.
 
At May 01, 2005 11:02 AM, Blogger wise donkey said...
well i am not a person who understands technical stuff, but still find your blog and the info u post interesting.

in fact i had given the link to some of my friends, and though they dont comment, they did read and agreed its interesting.

its just a myth that people are interested only in skin shows and celebrities. and yeah even i am tired of the endless attention to jackson trial :(

today people trust the media, more than the govt and think the media will mention if there is a prob, but the media just sticks to myths:(
 
At May 02, 2005 1:30 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Abt. the pooling in of resources by big auto companies... I agree that a competitive system works far better. What I was trying to suggest is that sometimes, you dont have to reinvent the wheel. A way has to be found to avoid that.
 

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