Saturday, March 12, 2005
This Day:

We all know that the fearsome dinosaurs (and a host of other creatures) perished when a large meteor (size of a small city) slammed into Earth some 65 million years ago. The impact crater is widely believed to be the Chicxulub Crater, near the present-day village of Chicxulub on the Yucatan Peninsula. Scientists (Richard Muller and his graduate student, Robert Rohde, from UC Berkeley) are now reporting that such extinctions took place with surprising regularity. A painstaking computer model, going back 500 million years, suggests that (about) 70% of the earth species are destroyed every 62 million years or so.

Chicxulub Crater (Courtesy: UC Berkeley)
The researchers analyzed data that cover the first and last known appearances of no fewer than 36,380 separate marine genera, including millions of species that once thrived in the world's seas, disappeared, and in many cases returned.
The explanations might include quirks of Solar Dynamics (some hidden solar cycle), a companion star to our sun (which might occassionally nudge the asteroids in the Oort Cloud), or even the solar system passing through the Galactic Plane (resulting in a higher chance of comet/asteroid impact). There is also the possibility of a Earth cycle that perhaps triggers volcanoes/earthquakes or other natural disasters.
Are we already due for another major extinction? Scientists do not know yet. It might be a long drawn phenomenon, or a quick culling. Take your pick.

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7 Comments:

At March 13, 2005 8:09 AM, Blogger Tupinambah said...
Common earthquakes, Tsunamis, new pandemics made with new unknown virus: HIV, Ebola, SARS...are a reminder of our finite existence...
Are we going to become extinct?
 
At March 13, 2005 8:46 AM, Blogger Sray said...
Well, it is a given, isnt it? At least if not extinct, perhaps we will evolve to some other species :-D.
 
At March 13, 2005 2:35 PM, Blogger Sray said...
Made up, yes, but possible. The problem of course is: how will the resulting social instability affect the populations? Wars, Famine, Pandemics, Terrorism... humankind will be pushed back eons perhaps :-(.
 
At March 13, 2005 5:47 PM, Blogger Wayne Smallman said...
Lucia makes a good point, and in a way, I'm reminder of a joke from school:

Q. what's the definition of pain?

A. a fly sliding down a razor blade using his balls as brakes.

Now, crudeness and factual / anatomical inaccuracies aside, the analogy really does come some way towards covering the tenuous and sometimes roller-coaster thrills & spills we as a species have endured over the millennia.

And what a strange ride it has been, don't you think?
 
At March 13, 2005 8:40 PM, Blogger Sray said...
It has been a hair-raising ride. The humankind has come close to extinction (down to about 1000-10,000 members!), which makes you wonder if it (pushed to extinction) can happen again. We like to think that we have conquered Nature, but as the tsunamis showed, Nature is still the boss.
I find it ironic that we spend so many countless hours covering/worrying about terrorism, where even a small epidemic can claim millions of lives. Sarcastically, I would say Nature is the biggest terrorist that ever was! And we are her pawns.
 
At March 14, 2005 11:47 AM, Blogger Wayne Smallman said...
I wouldn't go as far as calling Nature a terrorist.

During the last thinning of our species, it was certainly something other than our numerical standing that saw us through that period.

Clearly, this could be seen as a good case for our ingenuity being pivotal in our survival...
 
At March 14, 2005 4:16 PM, Blogger Sray said...
Gindy, that is true. But I was referring to epidemics that are not caused by humans... they pose the most danger since we do not know what they will be or where they will come from.

Wayne, calling nature a terrorist was a tongue-in-cheek comment. Of course nature isnt, since nature does not have any consciousness. But I was just trying to say that nature is capable of doing things/wreak havoc that are beyond any terrorist today.
 

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